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20130124
20130201
Search Results 0 to 5 of about 6 (some duplicates have been removed)
what would happen with their taxes. the uncertainty was horrendous, the mood sour. . we were getting all sorts of cross currents about what would happen with corporate and personal taxes. were they going to raise taxes, were capital gains going up? would the alternative minimum tax snare millions of people? would businesses have to start a whole brand new round of layoffs? executive after executive came on this show to say, look, we can't do a thing. what's the point? we will just have to undo it. business confidence plummeted, and the idea of forming a new business. well, remember when the ceo of paychex came on and talked about the paralysis caused by the cliff? who would leave his job to start a new business in that environment? okay. retail sales weren't that bad. but they nose dived right at the end of the quarter. retailers were afraid to restock inventory figuring that spending would drop off the cliff right along with the nation's finances. it was all in all a very bad time for our nation. now, overlay the storm of the century for the northeast. one that shut down the wealthi
in washington? the higher payroll taxes, and the general sense that the economy's not getting any better. is it? the answer's simple. why you may not think the overall economy is getting better, you're missing the big picture, partner. if you were to ask me to game the market using just one figure, one figure only, it wouldn't be what apple earns, the gross domestic product, the growth rate of earnings or the dividend yield of the s&p, it would be the weekly jobless claims. the weekly jobless claims is an indicator of future employment in this country. there's absolutely no coincidence that we had five-year highs today in the stock market. at the same time that unemployment claims hit five-year lows. it isn't fanciful that the market's roaring because jobs are being created at an accelerating pace. it's the most important determinant of the stock market. after all, the market got crushed when unemployment went above 5.5% and soared right into the great recession. i think these positive jobless numbers are occurring because of the certainty that comes from putting a presidential election and a t
of the certainty that comes from putting a presidential election and a tax fight behind us. plus, the warring political parties seem to have -- it does seem like a truce at hand deferring a ridiculous and harmful government shutdown. throwing a huge turn in china that converts believers every day along with stabilization of europe and multinational companies have at last powered higher. all that good news in the jobs it creates are causing a radical revision in what we're willing to pay for future earnings. that's right, the price to earnings multiple, the ratio of how much we'll pay for the profits companies are going to have down the road is headed north and therefore so are the stock prices. we're willing to pay up because of the prospect that things are, indeed better. let me show you what i mean. let's take the transports. they've been scorching, scorching despite the index being home, beating down trucking companies, worldwide freight plays, and the railroads -- which were just annihilated by an historic decline in the most important cargo, coal. what's happening now if the economy's ge
Search Results 0 to 5 of about 6 (some duplicates have been removed)